From Neighborhoods to Nations

Spatial interaction lies at the basis of much of our science but it has been hard, if not impossible to develop an equivalent theory of social interactions. Social interactions are hard to pin down, hard to observe and explain but slowly during the last 30 years such as theory has been in the making. Yannis Ioannides in this wonderful new book From Neighborhoods to Nations: The Economics of Social Interactions (Princeton University Press, 2012) lays out such a theory, built painstakingly from the movement in economics to explore human and social capital initiated a generation or more ago by Gary Becker, improved and honed by the econometricians and discrete choice theorists such  such as Charles Manski and pushed towards the new economic geography by people like Paul Krugman.

This statement is in no way complete but it is a strong beginning. It is entirely consistent with the development of network science which is a key piece of our new science of cities and it represents something well beyond urban economics which along with spatial interaction theory, now looks cast in an old world of simplicity and homogeneity that has long gone. We now live in a complex heterogeneous world of cities of different shapes and sizes and here is a book that propels us into this future. This is a world of segregation, sorting, trade, of preferences, expectations, constraints and of course equilibrium. But this is not a book that ignores space for the social domain. Spatial equilibrium is still the considered paradigm but so is the long term and Ioannides shows us how many of the paradoxes of city size and economic growth can be reconciled through this deep and rigorous theory of social interactions. This, in my view, is one the most important books which will guide our field in the next decade.

 

Posted in city size, Complexity, Economies of scale, Interactions | Leave a comment

Disruption in Large Transit Systems

One last lecture before I seek landfall back In Blighty after a long trip. Today at Portugal’s oldest University Coimbra (founded 1290). Click to see pdf. This is a reworking of our lecture on real time data analysis of London’s public transport systems bringing together a bit on tracking trains and buses by Richard Milton using the Tracketnet API for tubes and the Countdown API for buses, from me on graph theoretic measures of network disruption where only the topology is accounted for, and Jon Reades’ Oyster card data analysis where flows and real distances/travel times on the network are the focus. More on this project will emerge with time but meanwhile here is what we have done so far. Worth looking at our video of this made for Engineering at UCL for some background on the project which is part and parcel of our ERA-Net complexity project COSMIC. Go to CASA web site and drill down.

Posted in Agent-Based Models, Complexity, Flows, Hierarchy, Interactions, Smart Cities | Leave a comment

CA Models: A Progress Report

12 years ago we held a meeting in CASA on Cellular Automata Models. David O’Sullivan and Paul Torrens, both PhD students at the time – in fact David had finished and it was just before he went to Penn State – wrote a short editorial for Environment and Planning B on the state of the art of CA. We though the CAMUSS meeting would be a good opportunity to revisit the sate of the art and this morning (November 10th) yours truly is designated to present this. If you click on the various links here you will get the pdf. My view is still much the same as it was – that Urban CA tend to be more pedagogic devices than policy based models and that their theory is not very rich in terms of the way they articular the urban system. But there has been progress of sort and in the pdf, I recount some of this. We will write it up doubtless after the meeting.

Posted in Agent-Based Models, Cellular Automata, Complexity, Emergence, Hierarchy | Leave a comment