Gravity v Radiation Models

GRM

For many years, almost from the time when Newton first presented his laws of gravitation, speculations and applications of the gravity model to human interactions have been made. In the 19th century, Carey and Ravenstein led the way with Reilly, Zipf, Stewart and Warntz and then Voorhees making major contributions in the early to mid 20th century. Since then there has been an explosion of applications in transport, migration, population density analysis and so on. But there have been hardly any departures from the idea that physical space through distance is the dominating characteristic, apart perhaps from distance being substituted for intervening opportunities, and some notion that distance might be transformed to some other indicators of spatial impedance.

Recently a paper in Nature from the Barabási group has proposed that a radiation model is more appropriate where distance plays a very different role and intervening opportunities in terms of population are central. They tested this model for several geographical scales in the United States. In our paper, we present a formal test of both the gravity and radiation models developing several variants for England, Wales and Greater London, These  produce mixed results with respect to both models but demonstrate that geographical scale and the kind of interactions at different scales are important in exploring these models. You can access the paper which is printed online at Physical Review E by clicking on this link to  the PRE website where you can download it directly. The Barabási group paper is accessible if you click here.

Posted in Flows, Interactions, power laws, Scaling | Leave a comment

Network Histories

PLOSONE2013

If you click here you can see out paper on the analysis of London’s street network from the 18th century to the modern day. It was published this past week (12th August) in PLoS One and is open access, the way the world will be in our domain within a decade or less. It also represents a major trend in the simulation of city systems where the historical dimension has become important, particularly as the new social physics deals a lot with physical infrastructures and these are less difficult to measure historically from many visual and map based resources that catalog the past. This does not imply that socio-economic issues are less important, far from it, but I think we will see many of these kinds of effort in the next few years as we beginning to adapt our physical models to historical processes. Click here for the PDF and above in the image for the PloS One Web Site.

Posted in Complexity, Emergence, Hierarchy, Networks, Scaling | Leave a comment

The Urban Systems Collaborative

city-usc

The third annual meeting of the USC will be held at Imperial College on 11th and 12th September. The USC is the web forum set up by interested people in the smart cities movement in the US and maintains an active online seminar program but their annual meeting – which is free for those in the wider community – essentially focuses on new directions pertaining to information in cities, in smart cities. This year the theme is is “Cities as a Design Challenge for Quality of Life”. with sub-themes The Adaptive City, The Personalised City, The Supportive City, and Perceptions of the Quality of Life, all with respect to the impact and use of information technologies. Speakers include: John Polak, Michael Batty, Shane Mitchell, Nicholas de Monchaux, UC Berkeley; Rick Robinson, Constantine Kontokosta, Colin Harrison, Richard Dawson, Marjan Sarshar, Joe Cortright, Keith Besserud, Jurij Paraszczak, Carol Coletta, …..

The meeting is free and interested participants in the smart cities area and beyond should register by clicking on this link

Posted in Big Data, Complexity, Geodesign, Information, Networks, Smart Cities | Leave a comment